(This story was updated to add new information.)
Take a look at the 2025 betting upsets in the UFC.
For an underdog to be included on this list, the favorite had to be a consensus minimum of -150 across major sportsbooks. That will keep the list from being populated with truly minor upsets from betting lines that easily could have swung the opposite way.
Fighters are listed alphabetically, followed by an event-by-event upset tracker.
(Updated through UFC Fight Night 253)
Hyder Amil def. William Gomis
Event: UFC Fight Night 253 | March 1, 2025
Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas
Result: Hyder Amil def. William Gomis via split decision (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
Odds: Gomis -220, Amil +180
Raoni Barcelos vs. Payton Talbott
Event: UFC 311 | Jan. 18, 2025
Location: Intuit Dome, Inglewood, Calif.
Result: Raoni Barcelos def. Payton Talbott via unanimous decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)
Odds: Talbott -1200, Barcelos +750
Jan 18, 2025; Inglewood, California, USA; Payton Talbott (red gloves) fights Raoni Barcelos (blue gloves) during UFC 311 at Intuit Dome. Mandatory Credit: Gary A. Vasquez-Imagn Images
Felipe Bunes def. Jose Johnson
Event: UFC Fight Night 249 | Jan. 11, 2025
Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas
Result: Felipe Bunes def. Jose Johnson via submission (armbar) – Round 1, 2:04
Odds: Johnson -180, Bunes +150
Jared Cannonier def. Gregory Rodrigues
Event: UFC Fight Night 251 | Feb. 15, 2025
Location: Las Vegas
Result: Jared Cannonier def. Gregory Rodrigues via TKO (punches) – Round 4, 0:21
Odds: Rodrigues -260, Cannonier +210
Ion Cutelaba def. Ibo Aslan
Event: UFC Fight Night 252 | Feb. 22, 2025
Location: Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle
Result: Ion Cutelaba def. Ibo Aslan via submission (arm-triangle choke) – Round 1, 2:51
Odds: Aslan -220, Cutelaba +180
Mackenzie Dern def. Amanda Ribas
Event: UFC Fight Night 249 | Jan. 11, 2025
Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas
Result: Mackenzie Dern def. Amanda Ribas via submission (armbar) – Round 3, 4:56
Odds: Ribas -190, Dern +160
Merab Dvalishvili def. Umar Nurmagomedov
Event: UFC 311 | Jan. 18, 2025
Location: Intuit Dome, Inglewood, Calif.
Result: Merab Dvalishvili def. Umar Nurmagomedov via unanimous decision (48-47, 48-47, 49-46)
Odds: Nurmagomedov -280, Dvalishvili +225
Rob Font def. Jean Matsumoto
Event: UFC Fight Night 252 | Feb. 22, 2025
Location: Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle
Result: Rob Font def. Jean Matsumoto via split decision (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
Odds: Matsumoto -205, Font +170
Muin Gafurov def. Rinya Nakamura
Event: UFC 311 | Jan. 18, 2025
Location: Intuit Dome, Inglewood, Calif.
Result: Muin Gafurov def. Rinya Nakamura via unanimous decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
Odds: Nakamura -675, Gafurov +490
Nasrat Haqparast def. Esteban Ribovics
Event: UFC Fight Night 253 | March 1, 2025
Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas
Result: Nasrat Haqparast def. Esteban Ribovics via split decision (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
Odds: Ribovics -265, Haqparast +210
Nassourdine Imavov def. Israel Adesanya
Nassourdine Imavov celebrates after defeating Israel Adesanya in their men’s middleweight fight during the Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) Fight Night 250 in Riyadh on February 1, 2025. (Photo by Fayez NURELDINE / AFP)
Event: UFC Fight Night 250 | Feb. 1, 2025
Location: ANB Arena, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
Result: Nassourdine Imavov def. Israel Adesanya via knockout (punches) – Round 2, 0:30
Odds: Adesanya -170, Imavov +140
Bruno Lopes def. Magomed Gadzhiyasulov
Event: UFC Fight Night 249 | Jan. 11, 2025
Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas
Result: Bruno Lopes def. Magomed Gadzhiyasulov via unanimous decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
Odds: Gadzhiyasulov -275, Lopes +215
Jonathan Micallef def. Kevin Jousset
Event: UFC 312 | Feb. 8, 2025
Location: Qudos Bank Arena, Sydney
Result: Jonathan Micallef def. Kevin Jousset via unanimous decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Odds: Jousset -210, Micallef +170
Vinicius Oliveira def. Said Nurmagomedov
Event: UFC Fight Night 250 | Feb. 1, 2025
Location: ANB Arena, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
Result: Vinicius Oliveira def. Said Nurmagomedov via unanimous decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Odds: Nurmagomedov -220, Oliveira +180
Michael Page def. Shara Magomedov
Event: UFC Fight Night 250 | Feb. 1, 2025
Location: ANB Arena, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
Result: Michael Page def. Shara Magomedov via unanimous decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
Odds: Magomedov -220, Page +180
Ailin Perez def. Karol Rosa
Event: UFC 311 | Jan. 18, 2025
Location: Intuit Dome, Inglewood, Calif.
Result: Ailin Perez def. Karol Rosa via unanimous decision (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
Odds: Rosa -250, Perez +205
Sam Patterson def. Danny Barlow
Event: UFC Fight Night 253 | March 1, 2025
Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas
Result: Sam Patterson def. Danny Barlow via knockout (punches) – Round 1, 3:10
Odds: Barlow -225, Patterson +185
Andre Petroski
Event: UFC Fight Night 251 | Feb. 15, 2025
Location: Las Vegas
Result: Andre Petroski def. Rodolfo Vieira via unanimous decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Odds: Vieira -285, Petroski +230
Christian Rodriguez def. Austin Bashi
Event: UFC Fight Night 249 | Jan. 11, 2025
Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas
Result: Christian Rodriguez def. Austin Bashi via unanimous decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Odds: Bashi -270 Rodriguez +215
Nazim Sadykhov
Event: UFC Fight Night 251 | Feb. 15, 2025
Location: Las Vegas
Result: Nazim Sadykhov def. Ismael Bonfim via TKO (doctor’s stoppage) – Round 1, 5:00
Odds: Bonfim -225, Sadykhov +185
Ricky Simon def. Javid Basharat
Event: UFC Fight Night 252 | Feb. 22, 2025
Location: Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle
Result: Ricky Simon def. Javid Basharat via knockout (punches) – Round 1, 3:58
Odds: Basharat -265, Simon +210
Feb 22, 2025; Seattle, Washington, USA; Ricky Simon (red gloves) fights Javid Basharat (blue gloves) in the bantamweight bout during UFC Fight Night at Climate Pledge Arena. Mandatory Credit: Steven Bisig-Imagn Images
Punahele Soriano def. Uros Medic
Event: UFC Fight Night 249 | Jan. 11, 2025
Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas
Result: Punahele Soriano def. Uros Medic via knockout (punches) – Round 1, 0:31
Odds: Medic -225, Soriano +180
Rong Zhu def. Kody Steele
Event: UFC 312 | Feb. 8, 2025
Location: Qudos Bank Arena, Sydney
Result: Rong Zhu def. Kody Steele via unanimous decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
Odds: Steele -340, Zhu +270
UFC Fight Night 253 upsets
- Nasrat Haqparast def. Esteban Ribovics via split decision (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
- Hyder Amil def. William Gomis via split decision (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
- Sam Patterson def. Danny Barlow via knockout (punches) – Round 1, 3:10
UFC Fight Night 252 upsets
- Ion Cutelaba def. Ibo Aslan via submission (arm-triangle choke) – Round 1, 2:51
- Rob Font def. Jean Matsumoto via split decision (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
- Ricky Simon def. Javid Basharat via knockout (punches) – Round 1, 3:58
UFC Fight Night 251 upsets
- Jared Cannonier def. Gregory Rodrigues via TKO (punches) – Round 4, 0:21
- Nazim Sadykhov def. Ismael Bonfim via TKO (doctor’s stoppage) – Round 1, 5:00
- Andre Petroski def. Rodolfo Vieira via unanimous decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
UFC 312 upsets
- Rong Zhu def. Kody Steele via unanimous decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
- Jonathan Micallef def. Kevin Jousset via unanimous decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
UFC Fight Night 250 upsets
- Nassourdine Imavov def. Israel Adesanya via knockout (punches) – Round 2, 0:30
- Michael Page def. Shara Magomedov via unanimous decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
- Vinicius Oliveira def. Said Nurmagomedov via unanimous decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
UFC 311 upsets
- Merab Dvalishvili def. Umar Nurmagomedov via unanimous decision (48-47, 48-47, 49-46)
- Raoni Barcelos def. Payton Talbott via unanimous decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)
- Ailin Perez def. Karol Rosa via unanimous decision (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
- Muin Gafurov def. Rinya Nakamura via unanimous decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
UFC Fight Night 249 upsets
- Mackenzie Dern def. Amanda Ribas via submission (armbar) – Round 3, 4:56
- Christian Rodriguez def. Austin Bashi via unanimous decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
- Punahele Soriano def. Uros Medic via knockout (punches) – Round 1, 0:31
- Felipe Bunes def. Jose Johnson via submission (armbar) – Round 1, 2:04
- Bruno Lopes def. Magomed Gadzhiyasulov via unanimous decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
Upcoming events
- UFC 313, Las Vegas | March 8
- UFC Fight Night 254, Las Vegas | March 15
- UFC Fight Night 255, London | March 22
- UFC on ESPN 64, Mexico City | March 29
This news first appeared on MMA Junkie. Read the original article here
