(This story was updated to add new information.)
Take a look at the 2025 betting upsets in the UFC.
For an underdog to be included on this list, the favorite had to be a consensus minimum of -150 across major sportsbooks. That will keep the list from being populated with truly minor upsets from betting lines that easily could have swung the opposite way.
Fighters are listed alphabetically, followed by an event-by-event upset tracker.
(Updated through UFC Fight Night 250)
Raoni Barcelos vs. Payton Talbott
Event: UFC 311 | Jan. 18, 2025
Location: Intuit Dome, Inglewood, Calif.
Result: Raoni Barcelos def. Payton Talbott via unanimous decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)
Odds: Talbott -1200, Barcelos +750
Felipe Bunes def. Jose Johnson
Event: UFC Fight Night 249 | Jan. 11, 2025
Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas
Result: Felipe Bunes def. Jose Johnson via submission (armbar) – Round 1, 2:04
Odds: Johnson -180, Bunes +150
Mackenzie Dern def. Amanda Ribas
Event: UFC Fight Night 249 | Jan. 11, 2025
Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas
Result: Mackenzie Dern def. Amanda Ribas via submission (armbar) – Round 3, 4:56
Odds: Ribas -190, Dern +160
Merab Dvalishvili def. Umar Nurmagomedov
Event: UFC 311 | Jan. 18, 2025
Location: Intuit Dome, Inglewood, Calif.
Result: Merab Dvalishvili def. Umar Nurmagomedov via unanimous decision (48-47, 48-47, 49-46)
Odds: Nurmagomedov -280, Dvalishvili +225
Muin Gafurov def. Rinya Nakamura
Event: UFC 311 | Jan. 18, 2025
Location: Intuit Dome, Inglewood, Calif.
Result: Muin Gafurov def. Rinya Nakamura via unanimous decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
Odds: Nakamura -675, Gafurov +490
Nassourdine Imavov def. Israel Adesanya
Nassourdine Imavov celebrates after defeating Israel Adesanya in their men’s middleweight fight during the Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) Fight Night 250 in Riyadh on February 1, 2025. (Photo by Fayez NURELDINE / AFP)
Event: UFC Fight Night 250 | Feb. 1, 2025
Location: ANB Arena, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
Result: Nassourdine Imavov def. Israel Adesanya via knockout (punches) – Round 2, 0:30
Odds: Adesanya -170, Imavov +140
Bruno Lopes def. Magomed Gadzhiyasulov
Event: UFC Fight Night 249 | Jan. 11, 2025
Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas
Result: Bruno Lopes def. Magomed Gadzhiyasulov via unanimous decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
Odds: Gadzhiyasulov -275, Lopes +215
Vinicius Oliveira def. Said Nurmagomedov
Event: UFC Fight Night 250 | Feb. 1, 2025
Location: ANB Arena, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
Result: Vinicius Oliveira def. Said Nurmagomedov via unanimous decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Odds: Nurmagomedov -220, Oliveira +180
Michael Page def. Shara Magomedov
Event: UFC Fight Night 250 | Feb. 1, 2025
Location: ANB Arena, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
Result: Michael Page def. Shara Magomedov via unanimous decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
Odds: Magomedov -220, Page +180
Ailin Perez def. Karol Rosa
Event: UFC 311 | Jan. 18, 2025
Location: Intuit Dome, Inglewood, Calif.
Result: Ailin Perez def. Karol Rosa via unanimous decision (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
Odds: Rosa -250, Perez +205
Christian Rodriguez def. Austin Bashi
Event: UFC Fight Night 249 | Jan. 11, 2025
Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas
Result: Christian Rodriguez def. Austin Bashi via unanimous decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Odds: Bashi -270 Rodriguez +215
Punahele Soriano def. Uros Medic
Event: UFC Fight Night 249 | Jan. 11, 2025
Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas
Result: Punahele Soriano def. Uros Medic via knockout (punches) – Round 1, 0:31
Odds: Medic -225, Soriano +180
UFC Fight Night 250 upsets
- Nassourdine Imavov def. Israel Adesanya via knockout (punches) – Round 2, 0:30
- Michael Page def. Shara Magomedov via unanimous decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
- Vinicius Oliveira def. Said Nurmagomedov via unanimous decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
UFC 311 upsets
- Merab Dvalishvili def. Umar Nurmagomedov via unanimous decision (48-47, 48-47, 49-46)
- Raoni Barcelos def. Payton Talbott via unanimous decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)
- Ailin Perez def. Karol Rosa via unanimous decision (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
- Muin Gafurov def. Rinya Nakamura via unanimous decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
UFC Fight Night 249 upsets
- Mackenzie Dern def. Amanda Ribas via submission (armbar) – Round 3, 4:56
- Christian Rodriguez def. Austin Bashi via unanimous decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
- Punahele Soriano def. Uros Medic via knockout (punches) – Round 1, 0:31
- Felipe Bunes def. Jose Johnson via submission (armbar) – Round 1, 2:04
- Bruno Lopes def. Magomed Gadzhiyasulov via unanimous decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
Upcoming events
- UFC 312, Sydney | Feb. 8
- UFC Fight Night 251, Las Vegas | Feb. 15
- UFC Fight Night 252, Seattle | Feb. 22
- UFC Fight Night 253, Las Vegas | March 1
This news first appeared on MMA Junkie. Read the original article.
